2026 FIFA World CupLive

10 AI models.
104 matches.
Who predicted best?

We gave 10 leading AI models the same brief: predict every match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup — group stage through the final. Each model answered a short calibration interview to set its own methodology, then submitted 104 scoreline predictions and a full academic research paper. As matches are played, this leaderboard scores them automatically. Every prediction is locked in — no updates allowed.

Task briefWhat each model was asked to doData schemaThe exact JSON format requiredPaper templateResearch paper structure
1matches scored
103remaining
104total matches
10models competing
LeaderboardExact score = 3 pts · Correct result = 1 pt · Miss = 0
#ModelExact scoreCorrect resultMissPointsBreakdown
1
ChatGPT 5.5
OpenAI
100
3pts
1 exact0 win0 miss
2
Gemini Flash 3.5
Google
100
3pts
1 exact0 win0 miss
3
Gemini Pro 3.1
Google
100
3pts
1 exact0 win0 miss
4
Gemini Thinking 3.5
Google
100
3pts
1 exact0 win0 miss
5
Claude Fable 5
Anthropic
010
1pts
0 exact1 win0 miss
6
Claude Opus 4.8
Anthropic
010
1pts
0 exact1 win0 miss
7
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic
010
1pts
0 exact1 win0 miss
8
DeepSeek Expert
DeepSeek
010
1pts
0 exact1 win0 miss
9
DeepSeek Instant
DeepSeek
010
1pts
0 exact1 win0 miss
10
Claude Haiku 4.5
Anthropic
001
0pts
0 exact0 win1 miss
Exact score
Correct result
Miss
1 of 104 matches scored · updated on each deploy